I’ve always been more of an
optimist when it comes to the future of civil society in China, even in these
dark days under Xi Jinping’s rule. In early March of 2015, I wrote the response
below to some hand-wringing among academics about the growing restrictions on
labor NGOs and activists. Soon after I wrote this, five women activists around
China were detained in a coordinated high-level campaign, and then about nine
months later, a number of labor activists were interrogated and some detained
and criminally charged. So was I wrong? I don’t think so. Re-reading this
response, I think it’s as relevant as it was when I wrote it about a year ago.
My point then and now is that we need to be more attentive to the organic way
in which civil society multiplies and regenerates itself. Indeed, months later,
some of these same women activists, who were released after a month in
detention, have gone back to working on the same issues they were working on
prior to their detention, and for all I know they may have found a few more
supporters, and I’m confident the same will be true of some the labor
activists.
*********************************************
March 2, 2015
At a macro level, the recent
campaign against lawyers and activists in China is not sustainable, nor is it
meant to be sustainable. In this sense, the crackdown is not the “new normal”.
It is instead a means to an end. What that end is remains to be seen, whether
it’s laying the foundation for the reforms laid out in Xi Jinping’s ambitious
Third Plenum Decision, or revitalising the relationship between the party-state
and society, or strengthening China’s national sovereignty and security, or
perhaps all three. Those are the new normal, not the crackdown.
The end is not, as some people
believe, the eradication of civil society. If that is the end, then the Xi
Jinping administration has a lot more work to do but I don’t believe that is a
priority. The leadership has too many other burning issues to attend to
than try to stamp out pesky activists - the economy, the anticorruption
campaign, territorial and sovereignty issues on its periphery, and North Korea
come to mind. Nor am I saying Xi Jinping is a closet liberal who will turn
around to save civil society. He wants to save and strengthen the party and the
nation, not civil society. But if Xi Jinping’s affirmation of “social
governance” in his Third Plenum Decision’s is still valid, then there’s still a
chance that he is willing to work with civil society if it helps him achieve
his larger goals.
At a more micro level, I wish
journalists and academics would do more to recognise the hard work of civil
society activists and organisations on the ground and their achievements rather
than their setbacks. Activists, NGOs and lawyers seem to attract more attention
and support for being repressed than for making progress. No disrespect to the
journalists which have done a great job covering China under tight deadlines
and editorial demands, but if I was just trying to understand China by reading
the media, I’d wonder how civil society could make any progress at all on the
ground because it always seems be getting shut down.
To illustrate the power of the
media, I always think about people I met when I was reviving the English
version of China Development Brief whose founder, Nick Young, was barred from
China in 2007. When I told them in 2011 or 2012 that I was working for CDB,
many would tell me that they read CDB’s newsletter and would cite some piece
from the pre-2007 days. Well you know, I would say, that was the old CDB, but
you know there’s now this new CDB and it’s not the same as the old one. I could
tell though it was hard for them to get their mind around this piece of
information. It was like once the media reported that Nick had been barred, CDB
ceased to exist in the minds of many people.
The reality is that in China,
as I’m sure happens in other countries, detaining activists and lawyers and
closing down NGOs is like the whack-a-mole game. They just pop up in other
forms. Or maybe a better analogy is to understand these civil society actors as
an organism. Hurting that organism, killing some of its cells, is only a
temporary setback because over time that organism will grow new cells to
replace the ones that died. Just as I was able to resurrect the old
English-language CDB through the Chinese-language CDB that had spun off of the
English-language organization and had managed to survive the closing down of
Nick’s operation. Count that as yet another achievement of civil society. Once
it begins to multiply, it’s very difficult to exterminate.
Ironically, this seemingly
novel way of looking at civil society is applied to uncivil society actors, or
what we might call bad civil society, such as terrorist organizations and
networks. We often hear how killing leaders of an organization like Al Qaeda
may not be that be that effective because other leaders and cells will arise to
take their place. How prophetic that insight has become! But it’s that not
great of a leap to say the same of civil society actors.
I
recognise that there are exceptions to this tendency in the media to play up
the negative, but the grand narrative plays in favor of seeing activists and
NGOs as weak and powerless rather than as fighters, objects to be pitied rather
than admired. Progress made by civil society is rarely reported, whereas their
failures almost always are.
I
think our myopia with regard to civil society is one reason we are often caught
off guard when social movements succeed in causing a political rupture, as in
the Solidarity movement in Poland, Arab Spring in North Africa, and the
democratic opening in Myanmar. Experts very rarely predict these events. They
end up trying to explain them using the benefit of hindsight, working backwards
from the rupture to see what they had missed. But maybe if we were more
attentive to following the various ways in which civil society multiplies and
regenerates, we might have more forewarning of when a rupture is coming.
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